Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.162173 0.191670 0.224698 0.264374 0.310703 0.363048 0.426638
2025-08-17 0.111756 0.147580 0.192031 0.251069 0.327250 0.422051 0.548785
2025-08-24 0.088476 0.126963 0.178518 0.252274 0.354688 0.491418 0.687308
2025-08-31 0.070289 0.108144 0.162201 0.244459 0.365802 0.537421 0.797583
2025-09-07 0.060012 0.098073 0.155502 0.247645 0.390776 0.603370 0.941418
2025-09-14 0.051554 0.088987 0.148357 0.248267 0.410818 0.663040 1.081503
2025-09-21 0.043996 0.079910 0.139566 0.244486 0.422622 0.710327 1.206554
2025-09-28 0.038291 0.072926 0.132985 0.243012 0.437305 0.762866 1.344703
2025-10-05 0.035652 0.070888 0.134411 0.255150 0.476028 0.858544 1.564232
2025-10-12 0.033883 0.070136 0.137907 0.271207 0.523182 0.973047 1.827640
2025-10-19 0.031232 0.067245 0.136990 0.278822 0.555573 1.064445 2.058823
2025-10-26 0.027978 0.062624 0.132098 0.278073 0.571900 1.127923 2.244725
2025-11-02 0.023946 0.055955 0.122661 0.267967 0.570609 1.161639 2.384986
2025-11-09 0.020164 0.049219 0.112170 0.254370 0.560880 1.178646 2.496314
2025-11-16 0.018155 0.046126 0.108927 0.255577 0.581709 1.258116 2.740645
2025-11-23 0.015752 0.041673 0.102004 0.247663 0.581894 1.295228 2.901685
2025-11-30 0.014417 0.039591 0.100146 0.250889 0.606821 1.386544 3.186364
2025-12-07 0.013080 0.037264 0.097360 0.251519 0.625853 1.467039 3.455977
2025-12-14 0.011659 0.034461 0.092992 0.247690 0.633935 1.524066 3.679376
2025-12-21 0.010527 0.032244 0.089756 0.246197 0.647351 1.594429 3.940276
2025-12-28 0.010146 0.032080 0.091809 0.258488 0.696130 1.751676 4.419174
2026-01-04 0.009943 0.032403 0.095203 0.274746 0.756828 1.943232 4.998599
2026-01-11 0.009398 0.031601 0.095409 0.282455 0.796405 2.087747 5.478550